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    Home»Real Estate»From Peak Seller Conditions to Metro Divergence – Alberta’s Residential Market from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025
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    From Peak Seller Conditions to Metro Divergence – Alberta’s Residential Market from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025

    homegoal.caBy homegoal.caMay 14, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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    Alberta’s housing market from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025 reflected the impacts of rapid population growth, shifting supply conditions, and notable differences in performance between Calgary and Edmonton. The period began with very strong sales and a tight seller’s market, gradually shifting to more balanced conditions by early 2025, with Edmonton emerging as a comparatively tighter and stronger market than Calgary in various respects, according to reports from Edge Realty Analytics.

    Sales 

    Alberta home‐sales reached their high point in Q1 2024 with a 31% year-over-year (y/y) increase. Each quarter that followed showed progressively weaker quarterly gain. Q2 and Q4 dipped, with a slight Q3 rebound in between. By Q1 2025 both quarter-over-quarter (q/q) and year-over-year y/y) figures had turned negative, ending the earlier upswing.

    Source: Edge Realty Analytics

    Bar chart shows home sales from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, with numbers decreasing in Q2, Q4 2024, and Q1 2025 and increasing in Q3 2024 compared to the previous quarter.

    Bar chart showing Alberta home sales from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025; Q3 2024 and Q1 2025 have decreases, while Q2 and Q4 2024 show increases in actual units sold.

    Edmonton displayed increasing demand in late 2024 and early 2025, including record-high activity levels outside of a brief 2022 surge, while Calgary saw marked deceleration by Q1 2025.

    Listings

    In Q1 2024, new listings in Alberta dropped sharply q/q (-12.3 %) but were actually up y/y (+4.7 %), while active listings fell both q/q (-10.2 %) and year-over-year (-17.0 %). By Q1 2025, however, active listings had rebounded, rising 10.1% q/q and 11.3 % y/y with Calgary’s rising surging 70% y/y to four-year highs even as Edmonton’s stock remained at decade-low levels, down 20% y/y.

    Bar chart showing Alberta's quarterly percent change in new listings from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, with declines in Q1 and Q4 2024 and increases in Q2, Q3 2024, and Q1 2025.

    Source: Edge Realty Analytics

    Bar chart showing Alberta new real estate listings by quarter from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, with counts ranging from about 19,500 to 22,500. Some quarters show positive or negative change.

    Bar chart showing quarterly percent change in active listings in Alberta from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, with positive changes in Q2 and Q1 2025 and negative changes in Q1 and Q4 2024.

    Source: Edge Realty Analytics

    Prices

    Home prices across Alberta rose steadily on a year-over-year basis throughout the entire period, with gains ranging from 5.0% to 9.9%. While the overall price index saw modest quarterly fluctuations, dipping slightly in Q2, and rising in the remaining quarters, the regional patterns were more dynamic. Edmonton’s price growth began to outpace Calgary’s by early 2025, with a 12% year-over-year gain in January, compared to just 2.7% in Calgary. 

    Bar chart showing Alberta HPI quarterly price changes from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025; Q2 2024 shows a -0.5% decrease in red, other quarters show positive changes.

    Market Balance

    The sales-to-new listings ratio reflected shifting market conditions. It peaked at 86.2% in Q1 2024 and declined to 66.1% in Q2 and 67.6% in Q3. A brief tightening occurred in Q4 (72.9%), but the ratio fell again to 68.0% in Q1 2025. 

    By early 2025, Edmonton’s market was significantly tighter than Calgary’s, with a sales-to-new listings ratio above 70%, while Calgary dropped below 60%.

    Population

    Population growth remained elevated for most of the period, especially in 2024, when quarterly increases held at or above 0.9% and annual growth reached 4.4%. Although growth slowed in Q1 2025 (+0.3% q/q, +2.0% y/y), Alberta remained a national leader in net migration. 

    Construction

    Dwellings under construction increased in four of five quarters, with year-over-year gains ranging from 4.0% to 14.7%. Calgary experienced particularly strong growth in homeowner-oriented building, while Edmonton’s construction volume stayed comparatively subdued despite mounting demand.



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