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    Home»Real Estate»Inventory Growth Surpasses Sales Decline in BC Residential Market from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025
    Real Estate

    Inventory Growth Surpasses Sales Decline in BC Residential Market from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025

    homegoal.caBy homegoal.caMay 14, 2025No Comments2 Mins Read
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    British Columbia’s housing market opened 2025 on a different footing than it did a year earlier, as home buying activity slowed while listings and available inventory climbed. 

    Sales

    In Q1 2024, provincial home sales were on an upswing – 8.9% higher than in Q4 2023 and 0.6% above Q1 2023 levels. By contrast, the first quarter of 2025 saw transactions plunge 13.3% from Q4 2024 and sit 5.1% below year‐ago volume. The slide in sales coincided with a rise in mortgage arrears, from 0.15% in Q1 2024 to 0.19% in Q1 2025, and a climb in the unemployment rate from 5.5% to 6.0%.

    Source: Edge Realty Analytics

    Bar chart showing quarterly change in home sales (%): positive growth in 2024, peaking at +11.5% in Q4, then a sharp decline to -13.3% in Q1 2025.

    Inventory

    Supply metrics tell a complementary story. New listings in Q1 2025 increased 12.8% over the final quarter of 2024, compared to a 5.7% increase at the start of 2024, while year-over-year growth in fresh listings eased from 32.2% to 18.0%. Active inventory also rose by 12.4% q/q in Q1 2025 versus 6.3% a year earlier, and was up 27.0% y/y, narrowly eclipsing the 25.6% gain recorded in Q1 2024. As a result, months of supply rose from 5.6 to 7.8 over the same interval.

    The sales‐to‐new‐listings ratio fell from 46.2% in Q1 2024 to 38.1% in Q1 2025, further showing that listings are outpacing buyer uptake. 

    Bar chart showing total new listings per quarter from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, with values rising from 50,000 to 58,423.

    Source: Edge Realty Analytics

    Bar chart showing quarterly percentage changes in active listings: Q1 2024 (+6.3%), Q2 2024 (+7.8%), Q3 2024 (+4.0%), Q4 2024 (+2.6%), Q1 2025 (+12.4%).

    Bar chart showing total active listings per quarter from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, increasing from 45,000 to 58,184 listings.

    Source: Edge Realty Analytics

    Bar chart showing quarterly percent change in active listings: Q1 2024 (+6.3%), Q2 2024 (+7.8%), Q3 2024 (+4.0%), Q4 2024 (+2.6%), Q1 2025 (+12.4%).

    Prices

    Price trends, meanwhile, have softened. The provincial Home Price Index (HPI) dipped 1.7% in Q1 2024 before settling 4.4% above its year-earlier mark. In Q1 2025, prices declined 0.4% q/q and were 1.3% lower than in Q1 2024. Builders’ activity has also moderated: the number of dwellings under construction inched down 0.5% q/q in early 2025 and eked out just 0.8% growth y/y, compared with a 2.8% and 19.5% rise, respectively, in Q1 2024.

    Bar chart showing average HPI price per quarter from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, with prices ranging from $944,300 to $950,910.

     

    Source: Edge Realty Analytics

    Bar chart showing quarterly changes in HPI prices from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, with declines in Q1, Q2, and Q1 2025, and a 0.7% increase in Q4 2024.

    These trends show a shift in the market balance. Population growth also slowed dramatically, from 0.5% q/q and 3.3% y/y at the start of 2024 to zero growth quarter-over-quarter and just 1.7% y/y in early 2025, adding another layer of change beneath B.C.’s housing landscape.



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